SW Radio Africa (London)
1 Novembre 2007
Experts on HIV/Aids issues were on Thursday questioning the authenticity of recent figures released by government which suggested that epidemic's prevalence rates were dropping.
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I lecture HIV/AIDS at a Teachers College and will always want to be upto date.
what is the latest statistics on HIV/AIDS in Zimbabwe?
I think sometimes we gain more credibility by separating politics and science. Thus, to assume that UN or WHO data on HIV/AIDS in Zimbabwe could be manipulated downwards for political or diplomatic reasons is absurd, and fails to realise how scientific or research data is gathered. Whereas the prevalence is still comparatively high, there has been a statistically significant decline in incidence, or number of new cases getting infected in Zimbabwe, and few other countries. This has been noted over the last two/three years and reported accordingly by UNAIDS and WHO.Yes South Africa still has both a high incidence and prevalence, but from epidemiological mapping, the pandemic started later in South Africa, when in Zimbabwe and a few other countries in Africa, it had already 'peaked'. Reasons for the decline could be many and there is not much space to speculate here. Rather, it is important to be factual and correct positions derived more from political than scientific assessments. As for the political situation, I wish to reserve my comments and confine them to correcting what could be misconceptions on scientific observations. Thank you. Dr MTM